Sekureva kweongororo yeAssociated Builders and Contractors yeUS Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index, mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka iri kuwedzera zvakanyanya kubva muna Nyamavhuvhu gore rapera.
Mitengo yakawedzera ne1% muna Ndirazvichienzaniswa nemwedzi wapfuura, uye mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka yakakwira ne0.4% kupfuura gore rapfuura. Mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka zvisiri zvekugara inonzi yakakwirawo ne0.7%.
Tichitarisa zvikamu zvesimba, mitengo yakawedzera muzvikamu zviviri kubva muzvikamu zvitatu mwedzi wapera. Mitengo yemafuta asina kucheneswa yakakwira ne6.1%, ukuwo mitengo yezvinhu zvesimba zvisina kugadziriswa yakakwira ne3.8%. Mitengo yegesi yechisikigo yakadzikira ne2.4% muna Ndira.
"Mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka yakakwira muna Ndira, zvichigumisa kudzikira katatu kwakatevedzana pamwedzi," akadaro Chief Economist weABC Anirban Basu. "Kunyange zvazvo izvi zvichireva kuwedzera kukuru kwemwedzi kubva muna Nyamavhuvhu 2023, mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka haina kuchinja mugore rapfuura, yakakwira pasi pehafu yepoindi.
"Nekuda kwemitengo yakaderera yekushandisa zvinhu, vazhinji vevanoita mabasa ekuvaka vanotarisira kuti purofiti yavo ichawedzera mumwedzi mitanhatu inotevera, zvichienderana neABC's Confidence Index."
Mwedzi wapera, Basu akataura kuti kuba muGungwa Dzvuku uye kutsauswa kwengarava kubva kuSuez Canal kwakatenderedza Cape of Good Hope kwaive kukonzera kuti mitengo yekutakura zvinhu pasi rose ipetwe kaviri mumavhiki maviri ekutanga a2024.
Yakatumidzwa zita rekuti ndiyo dambudziko guru rekutengeserana kwepasi rose kubvira padenda reCOVID-19, nzira dzekutengesa dziri kuratidza zviratidzo zvekusagadzikana mushure mekurwiswa uku,kusanganisira muindasitiri yekupenda.
Mitengo yesimbi yakawedzerawo zvakanyanya muna Ndira, ichikwira ne5.4% kubva mumwedzi wapfuura. Zvinhu zvesimbi nesimbi zvakawedzera ne3.5% uye zvigadzirwa zvekongiri zvakakwira ne0.8%. Zvisinei, zvinonamatira nezvisimbiso hazvina kuchinja kwemwedzi uyu, asi zvichiri kuwedzera ne1.2% gore negore.
"Pamusoro pezvo, chiyero chakakura chePPI chemitengo yakagamuchirwa nevagadziri vese vezvigadzirwa nemasevhisi ekupedzisira emuno chakakwira ne0.3% muna Ndira, pamusoro pekuwedzera kwaitarisirwa kwe0.1%," akadaro Basu.
"Izvi, pamwe chete nedata reConsumer Price Index rinopisa kupfuura raitarisirwa rakaburitswa kutanga kwesvondo rino, zvinoratidza kuti Federal Reserve inogona kuchengetedza mitengo yemubereko ichikwira kwenguva yakareba kupfuura yaitarisirwa kare."
Kusarira, Kuvimba neVakondirakita
Pakutanga kwemwedzi uno, ABC yakashumawo kuti Construction Backlog Indicator yayo yakaderera nemwedzi 0.2 kusvika kumwedzi 8.4 muna Ndira. Sekureva kweongororo yenhengo dzeABC, yakaitwa kubva muna Ndira 22 kusvika Kukadzi 4, kuverenga kwadzikira nemwedzi 0.6 kubva muna Ndira gore rapera.
Sangano iri rinotsanangura kuti kushaya mabasa kwakawedzera kusvika kumwedzi gumi nepfumbamwe muchikamu chemaindasitiri makuru, kuverenga kwakanyanya kupfuura mamwe ese muchikamu ichocho, uye kwakakwira nemwedzi miviri nehafu kupfuura muna Ndira 2023. Zvisinei, kushaya mabasa kwaderera gore negore muzvikamu zvemabhizinesi/masangano nezvivakwa.
Kusaririra kwakaratidza kuwedzera kwenhamba muzvikamu zvishoma, zvinosanganisira:
- indasitiri yeHeavy Industrial, kubva pa8.4 kusvika pa10.9;
- dunhu rekuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva, kubva pa8.0 kusvika pa8.7;
- dunhu reSouth, kubva pa10.7 kusvika pa11.4; uye
- hukuru hwekambani hunopfuura mamiriyoni zana emadhora ($100 miriyoni), kubva pa10.7 kusvika pa13.0.
Kusaririra kwakadonha muzvikamu zvakasiyana-siyana, zvinosanganisira:
- indasitiri yezvekutengeserana nemasangano, kubva pa9.1 kusvika pa8.6;
- indasitiri yezvivakwa, kubva pa7.9 kusvika pa7.3;
- dunhu reMiddle States, kubva pa8.5 kusvika pa7.2;
- dunhu reMadokero, kubva pa6.6 kusvika pa5.3;
- hukuru hwekambani husingasviki mamiriyoni makumi matatu emadhora ($30 miriyoni), kubva pa7.4 kusvika pa7.2;
- saizi yekambani inosvika $30-$50 miriyoni, kubva pa11.1 kusvika 9.2; uye
- hukuru hwekambani inosvika mamiriyoni makumi mashanu ($50-100 miriyoni), kubva pa12.3 kusvika pa10.9.
Zvinonzi kuverengwa kweConstruction Confidence Index kwemitengo yekutengesa nevashandi kwakawedzera muna Ndira, ukuwo kuverengwa kwepurofiti kwakadzikira. Izvi zvichiri kutaurwa, kuverengwa kwese kutatu kuri pamusoro pe50, zvichiratidza kuti tarisiro yekukura mumwedzi mitanhatu inotevera.
Nguva yekutumira: Kurume-26-2024
