Munzvimbo dzese dzeLatin America, kukura kweGDP kwakaderera zvishoma nezvishoma, zvichienderana neECLAC.
Charles W. Thurston, Munyori weLatin America03.31.25
Kudiwa kukuru kwependi nezvinhu zvekupeta muBrazil kwakawedzera ne6% mugore ra2024, zvichiwedzera kaviri kuwedzera kwezvekudya zvemuno munyika. Mumakore apfuura, indasitiri iyi yaiwanzopfuura kuwedzera kweGDP nechikamu chimwe chete kana zviviri muzana, asi gore rapfuura, chiyero ichi chakawedzera, zvichienderana nemushumo wechangobva kuitwa neAbrafati, weAssociação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Musika wependi nependi wekuBrazil wakapera muna 2024 nekutengesa kwakawanda, kwakapfuura zvese zvaitarisirwa mukati megore. Kumhanya kwekutengesa kwakaramba kwakasimba mugore rese mumitsetse yese yezvigadzirwa, zvichisundira huwandu hwese kusvika ku1.983 bhiriyoni marita - marita mamiriyoni 112 kupfuura gore rapfuura, zvichiratidza kukura kwe6.0% - zvichipfuura mwero we5.7% wegore ra2021, gore rinoonekwa serisingakoshi neindasitiri," akadaro Fabio Humberg, director weAbrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, muemail kuCW.
"Vhoriyamu yegore ra2024 — inosvika mabhiriyoni maviri emarita — inomiririra mhedzisiro yakanakisa munhevedzano yenhoroondo uye yatoita kuti Brazil ive mugadziri wechina pakukura pasi rose, ichipfuura Germany," akadaro Humberg.
Kukura Kwematunhu Kwava Pedyo Nekudzika
Mudunhu reLatin America, kukura kweGDP kwakaderera zvishoma nezvishoma, zvichienderana neUnited Nations' Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). "Muna 2024, hupfumi hwedunhu hwakawedzera ne2.2%, uye muna 2025, kukura kwedunhu kunofungidzirwa kuti kuri pa2.4%," vakadaro vaongorori veECLAC Economic Development Division muPreliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, yakaburitswa pakupera kwa2024.
"Kunyange zvazvo fungidziro dzegore ra2024 ne2025 dziri pamusoro peavhareji yemakore gumi aya, kukura kwehupfumi kucharamba kwakaderera. Avhareji yekukura kwegore negore kwemakore gumi 2015-2024 inomira pa1%, zvichiratidza kusamira zvakanaka kweGDP pamunhu panguva iyoyo," mushumo wakadaro. Nyika dzedunhu iri dziri kutarisana neizvo ECLAC yakadana kuti "musungo wekukura kushoma."
Kukura kwezvikamu zvepasi penyika kwave kusina kuenzana, uye maitiro aya ari kuramba achienderera mberi, ECLAC inokurudzira. "Padanho rezvikamu zvepasi penyika, muSouth America nemuboka rine Mexico neCentral America, mwero wekukura waderera kubva muhafu yechipiri ya2022. MuSouth America, kudzikira kunonyanya kuoneka kana Brazil isingabatanidzwe, sezvo nyika iyoyo ichisimudzira mwero wekukura kweGDP yezvikamu zvepasi penyika nekuda kwehukuru hwayo uye mashandiro ayo ari nani; kukura kuri kuramba kuchitsamira pakushandiswa kwemari nevanhu vega," inodaro mushumo wacho.
"Kushanda uku kunofungidzirwa kusasimba kunoratidza kuti munguva yepakati, mupiro wehupfumi hweLatin America neCaribbean mukukura kwepasi rose, unoratidzwa muzvikamu zvehuwandu, uchadzikira nehafu," mushumo unoratidza kudaro.
Data nemamiriro ezvinhu enyika dzakakosha muLatin America zvinotevera.
Bhuraziri
Kuwedzera kwakanyanya kwekushandiswa kwependi nependi muBrazil mugore ra2024 kwakatsigirwa nekukura kwehupfumi hwenyika ne3.2%. Kufanotaurwa kweGDP kwegore ra2025 kunononoka, pa2.3%, zvichienderana nekufungidzira kweECLAC. Kufungidzirwa kweWorld Bank kwakafanana neBrazil.
Zvichienderana nechikamu cheindasitiri yependi, kushanda kweBrazil kwakasimba kwazvo, ichitungamirwa nechikamu chemotokari. "Kwakava nekukura mumhando dzese dzezvigadzirwa kubva muindasitiri yependi nependi [mugore ra2024], zvakanyanya mupendi dzeOEM dzemotokari, izvo zvakauya mushure mekuwedzera kukuru kwekutengeswa kwemotokari," akadaro Abrafati.
Kutengeswa kwemotokari itsva muBrazil kusanganisira mabhazi nemarori kwakakwira ne14% muna 2024 kusvika pakakwirira kwemakore gumi, zvichienderana neAssociacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Kutengeswa kwegore rose kwakasvika mamiriyoni 2.63 emotokari muna 2024, zvichidzosera nyika pachinzvimbo chechisere pakukura pakati pemisika, zvichienderana nesangano. (Ona CW 1/24/25).
"Kugadziriswa kwemotokari kwakaratidzawo kuti kutengesa kwacho kwakawedzera ne3.6%, nekuda kwekuwedzera kwekutengeswa kwemotokari itsva - izvo zvine mhedzisiro pakutengeswa kwemotokari dzakamboshandiswa uye pakushandisa mari pakugadzirisa mota dzichitarisira kutengeswa ikoko - uye kuvimba kwevatengi kwakanyanya," akadaro Abrafati.
Mapendi ekushongedza akaramba achiratidza kushanda zvakanaka, aine huwandu hwakakura hwemarita 1.490 bhiriyoni (hwakawedzera ne5.9% kubva mugore rapfuura), Abrafati inotsanangura kudaro. "Chimwe chezvikonzero zvekushanda kwakanaka kwependi dzekushongedza ndiko kubatanidzwa kwetsika yekuti vanhu vatarisire misha yavo, kuitira kuti ive nzvimbo yekunyaradzwa, yekupotera uye yekugara zvakanaka, iyo yave iripo kubvira padenda," Abrafati akadaro.
"Chimwe chinowedzera kugutsikana kwevatengi ndechekuwedzera kwechivimbo chavo, sezvo vatengi vachinzwa kuti vane mabasa akawanda uye mari yavanowana, izvo zvakakosha kuti vasarudze kushandisa mari yavo kutenga pendi itsva papfuma yavo," akadaro mutungamiriri weAbrafati Luiz Cornacchioni mutsamba iyi.
Mapendi emaindasitiri akaratidzawo kukura kwakasimba, kwakasimbiswa nezvirongwa zvehurumende zvekuvandudza zvakatangwa pakupera kwa2023 pasi paMutungamiri Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Chimwe chinhu chakakosha mugore ra2024 kwaive kushanda kwemachira emumaindasitiri, ayo akawedzera nehuwandu neanopfuura 6.3% kana tichienzanisa negore ra2023. Mativi ese emhando yemachira emumaindasitiri akaratidza kukura kukuru, kunyanya nekuda kwekutengesa kwakasimba kwezvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu nekufambira mberi mumapurojekiti ezvivakwa (zvakakonzerwa nezvinhu zvakaita segore resarudzo nezvibvumirano zvakapihwa kumakambani akazvimirira)," akadaro Abrafati.
Zvivakwa zvekuvaka ndiyo pfungwa huru yehurongwa hwehurumende hweNew Growth Acceleration Program (Novo PAC), hurongwa hwekudyara mari inosvika mabhiriyoni mazana matatu nemakumi mana nemanomwe emadhora hwakanangana nezvirongwa zvekuvaka, budiriro, uye mapurojekiti ezvakatipoteredza, ayo akagadzirirwa kusimudzira matunhu ese enyika zvakaenzana (Ona CW 11/12/24).
"Novo PAC inosanganisira kudyidzana kwakasimba pakati pehurumende yemubatanidzwa nemasangano akazvimirira, matunhu, madhorobha, uye masangano evanhu mukushanda pamwe chete uye kwakazvipira kushandura nharaunda, maindasitiri matsva, kukura pamwe chete nekubatanidzwa kwevanhu, uye kuchengetedza nharaunda," inodaro webhusaiti yemutungamiri wenyika.
Vatambi vakuru mumusika wependi, machira uye zvinonamatira (NAICS CODES: 3255) vanosanganisira izvi zvishanu, sekureva kwaDunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, iri muGuarulhos, Sao Paulo state, nekutengesa kwegore negore kwe $ 271.85 mamiriyoni.
• Henkel, iri muItapevi, mudunhu reSao Paulo, ine mari inosvika mamiriyoni zana nemakumi mana nemakumi matanhatu nemapfumbamwe emadhora ekuAmerica ($140.69 million) mukutengesa.
• Kuuraya S/A Tintas e Adesivos, iri muNovo Hamburgo, Rio Grande Do Sul state, ine $129.14 mamiriyoni ekutengesa.
• Renner Sayerlack, anogara muSao Paulo, nemutengo we $111.3 miriyoni mukutengesa.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, ari muTaboao Da Serra, Sao Paulo state, ane $93.19 mamiriyoni ekutengesa.
Ajendina
Argentina, iyo iri pedyo neBrazil pakati penyika dziri kuSouthern Cone, yakagadzirira kudzoka nekukura kwakasimba kwe4.3% gore rino mushure mekuderera kwe3.2% muna 2024, zvakanyanya nekuda kwehutungamiriri hwehupfumi hwaMutungamiri Javier Milei. Kufungidzira uku kweGDP neECLAC hakuna tariro yakawanda kupfuura kufanotaura kweInternational Monetary Fund kwekukura kwe5% muArgentina muna 2025.
Nguva yekukura kwedzimba muArgentina inotarisirwa kuwedzera kudiwa kwependi nependi dzezvivakwa (Ona CW 9/23/24Chimwe chinhu chikuru chakaitika muArgentina ndechekupera kwekuwedzera kwerendi uye kutonga kwenguva yekurenda pamusika wezvivakwa zvekugara. Muna Nyamavhuvhu 2024, Milei akarasa Mutemo weRendi we2020 wakagadzwa nekambani yekare.
hutungamiriri hwebato rekuruboshwe.
Kugadzirisa dzimba dzakadzoka kumusika wakasununguka kunogona kuwedzera kukosha kwezvipfeko zvekuvaka kusvika pamadhora mamiriyoni mazana matanhatu nemakumi mashanu panosvika kupera kwa2027 mushure mekukura nechikamu chekuwedzera kwegore negore (CAGR) chinosvika 4.5% mukati memakore mashanu pakati pa2022 na2027, zvichienderana neongororo yakaitwa neIndustryARC.
Makambani makuru ekupenda nekupeta muArgentina, zvichienderana neD&B, anosanganisira:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, iri muGarín, mudunhu reBuenos Aires, kutengesa kusina kutaurwa.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, iri muAvellaneda, Buenos Aires, ine kutengeswa kwe $ 116.06 mamiriyoni pagore.
• Chemotecnica, iri kuCarlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, kutengeswa kwayo hakusati kwaziviswa.
• Mapei Argentina, iri muEscobar, Buenos Aires, kutengesa kusina kutaurwa.
• Akapol, ari muVilla Ballester, Buenos Aires, kutengesa kusina kutaurwa.
Korombiya
Kukura kuri kuenderera mberi muColombia kunofungidzirwa kuti kuchaitika mugore ra2025 pa2.6% zvichienzaniswa ne1.8% muna 2024, sekureva kweECLAC. Izvi zvicharatidza zvakanaka zvikuru
chikamu chekuvaka.
"Kudiwa kwenyika kuchave chinhu chikuru chinotungamira kukura kwemakore maviri anotevera. Kushandiswa kwezvinhu, uko kwakaona kupora zvishoma muna 2024, kuchawedzera zvakanyanya muna 2025 nekuda kwemitengo yakaderera yemubereko uye mari chaiyo yakakwira," vanonyora vaongorori veBBVA mumaonero egore raKurume 2025 enyika.
Kuvandudzwa kwezvivakwa, uko kuri kutanga kukura, kuchawedzerawo kudiwa kwezvipfeko zvemaindasitiri. Mapurojekiti makuru, akadai senhandare itsva yendege yeCartegena, akarongerwa kutanga kuvaka mukati mehafu yekutanga ya2025.
"Kutarisa kwehurumende pazvivakwa, kusanganisira zvekufambisa, simba uye zvivakwa zvevanhu (zvikoro nezvipatara), kucharamba kuri chinhu chikuru muhurongwa hwehupfumi. Mapurojekiti akakosha anosanganisira kuwedzera migwagwa, masisitimu emetro uye kuvandudzwa kwezviteshi," vanoongorora nyaya dzeGleeds vanodaro.
"Bazi rezvemabasa ehurumende rakaramba richishamisa nekukura ne13.9% muchikamu chechipiri chegore ra2024 mumwaka waro wakagadziridzwa, zvichitevera zvikamu zvishanu zvakatevedzana zvekuderera kwehupfumi. Zvisinei, richiri chikamu chiri kunonoka zvakanyanya muhupfumi hwese, chiri pasi pe36% pamberi pehuwandu hwedenda," vaongorori veGleeds vanowedzera.
Vatambi vakuru pamusika sezvakarongwa neD&B ndevanotevera:
• Companya Global de Pinturas, iri muMedellin, dhipatimendi reAntioquia, ine $219.33 miriyoni inotengeswa pagore.
• Invesa, iri muEnvigado, Antioquia, ine $117.62 miriyoni yekutengeswa.
• Coloquimica, iri muLa Estrella, Antioquia, ine $ 68.16 mamiriyoni ekutengesa.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, iri muMedellin, Antioquia. ine $62.97 miriyoni yekutengeswa.
• PPG Industries Colombia, iri muItagui, Antioquia, ine $55.02 miriyoni yekutengeswa.
Paragwayi
Pakati penyika dziri muLatin America dzinotarisirwa kukura nekukurumidza pane Paraguay, iyo inotarisirwa kuwedzera GDP yayo ne4.2% gore rino, zvichitevera kukura kwe3.9% gore rapfuura, inoshuma ECLAC.
"GDP muParaguay inofungidzirwa kuva mabhiriyoni makumi mana nemashanu emadhora pakupera kwa2024 mumitengo yeGDP iripo. Tichitarisa mberi kusvika muna 2025, fungidziro dzinoratidza kuti fungidziro yeGDP yeParaguay ya2025 inogona kuva mabhiriyoni makumi mana nematanhatu nematatu emadhora. Hupfumi hweParaguay hwakakura neavhareji yekukura kwegore negore kwe6.1% mumakore mana apfuura uye huri pachinzvimbo chechigumi neshanu muhupfumi hukuru muAmerica, pamberi peUruguay," inodaro World Economics, vaongorori vekuLondon.
Kugadzira zvinhu zvidiki kuri kuramba kuri chikamu chikuru chehupfumi hweParaguay. "BCP [Paraguay Central Bank] inofungidzira kuti [2025] ichange ichibudirira muindasitiri muParaguay, ichinyanya kukoshesa chikamu chemaquila (kuungana nekupedzisa zvigadzirwa). Tariro yeindasitiri yese ndeyekukura kwe5%" yakashuma H2Foz, muna Zvita 2024.
Kudyara mari muzvivakwa kuchaita kuti kugadzirwa kwezvinhu kuenderere mberi muParaguay.
"OPEC Fund for International Development (muna Ndira) yakazivisa kuti iri kupa chikwereti chemamiriyoni makumi mashanu emadhora kuParaguay chekubatsirana pakugadzirisa, kugadzirisa uye kugadzirisa National Route PY22 nemigwagwa inopinda mudunhu reConcepción rekuchamhembe kweParaguay. Yakabatsirana nechikwereti chemamiriyoni zana nemakumi matatu nemashanu emadhora kubva kuCAF (Development Bank of Latin America and the Caribbean)," yakadaro Middle East Economy.
Migwagwa nekuvakwa kwemahotera matsva zvichabatsira Paraguay kuwedzera indasitiri yayo yekushanya, iyo iri kukura nekukurumidza, nevashanyi vanopfuura mamiriyoni 2.2, sekureva kwemushumo weParaguayan Secretariat of Tourism (Senatur). "Data, yakaunganidzwa pamwe chete neDirectorate of Migration, inoratidza kuwedzera kukuru kwevashanyi vanosvika ne22% zvichienzaniswa negore ra2023," inodaro Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
MaCaribbean
Sechikamu chidiki, Caribbean inotarisirwa kuratidza kukura kwe11% gore rino, zvichienzaniswa ne5.7% muna 2024, zvichienderana neECLAC (Ona chati yeECLAC GDP). Kubva munyika gumi neina dzinoonekwa sechikamu chechikamu chidiki, Guyana inotarisirwa kuratidza kukura kusingawanzoitiki kwe41.5% gore rino, zvichienzaniswa ne13.6% muna 2024, nekuda kwekukura kuri kuita indasitiri yemafuta ekunze kwegungwa ikoko.
Bhengi reNyika rinoti Guyana ine mafuta negasi rinosvika “mabhiriyoni 11.2 emabhareni akaenzana nemafuta, kusanganisira mabhiriyoni 17 emamita egasi rechisikigo anofungidzirwa kuti akachengetwa.” Makambani akawanda emafuta epasi rose ari kuramba achiisa mari yakawanda, izvo zvakaita kuti pave nekukurumidzira kugadzirwa kwemafuta munyika muna 2022.
Mari inowanikwa kubva ipapo ichabatsira kugadzira kudiwa kutsva kwezvikamu zvese zvependi nependi. "Kunyange zvazvo, kare, GDP yemunhu wega wega muGuyana yaive pakati peyakaderera muSouth America, kukura kwehupfumi kunoshamisa kubvira muna 2020, neavhareji ye42.3% mumakore matatu apfuura, kwakaunza GDP yemunhu wega wega kusvika pamusoro pe$18,199 muna 2022, kubva pa$6,477 muna 2019," World
Mishumo yebhangi.
Zvinoenderana nekutsvaga kweGoogle AI, vatambi vakuru vependi nependi mudunhu iri vanosanganisira:
• Vatambi veDunhu: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, naRoyal.
• Makambani epasi rose: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore naComex.
• Mamwe makambani anozivikanwa anosanganisira RM Lucas Co. neCaribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Vhenezwera
Venezuela yave iri nyika isina zvematongerwo enyika muLatin America kwemakore mazhinji, pasinei nehupfumi hwenyika iyi hwemafuta negasi, pasi pehutongi hwaMutungamiri Nicolás Maduro. ECLAC inofanotaura kuti hupfumi huchakura ne6.2% gore rino, zvichienzaniswa ne3.1% muna 2024.
Hurumende yaTrump inogona kunge iri kunyunyuta nezve fungidziro yekukura uku nekuziviswa kwakaitwa munaKurume kuti United States ichaisa mutero we25% kune chero nyika inotenga mafuta eVenezuela, ayo anofungidzirwa kuti anosvika 90% yehupfumi hwenyika.
Kuziviswa kwemitero kwakauya mushure mekubviswa kwerezenisi reChevron rekutsvaga nekugadzira mafuta munyika musi wa4 Kurume. "Kana danho iri rikawedzerwa kune mamwe makambani - anosanganisira Repsol yeSpain, Eni yeItaly, neMaurel & Prom yeFrance - hupfumi hweVenezuela hunogona kutarisana nekuderera kukuru kwekugadzirwa kwemafuta asina kucheneswa, kugoverwa kwepeturu kwakaderera, musika wemari yekunze usina kusimba, kudzikiswa kwemitengo, uye kukwira kwemitengo," anodaro Caracas Chronicles.
Sangano renhau rinotaura nezvekuchinja kwemaonero kubva kuEcoanalítica munguva pfupi yapfuura, iyo "inofungidzira kudzikira kweGDP ne2% kusvika ku3% panosvika kupera kwa2025, nekuderera kwe20% muchikamu chemafuta." Vaongorori vanoenderera mberi vachiti: "Zvese zvinoratidza kuti gore ra2025 richave rakaoma kupfuura zvaitarisirwa pakutanga, nekuderera kukuru kwenguva pfupi mukugadzirwa uye kudzikira kwemari inowanikwa nemafuta."
Pakati penyika dzinotungamira kutenga mafuta eVenezuela ndiChina, iyo muna 2023 yakatenga 68% yemafuta anotengeswa kunze kwenyika neVenezuela, zvichienderana neongororo yakaitwa muna 2024 neUS Energy Information Administration, inoshuma kudaro EuroNews. "Spain, India, Russia, Singapore neVietnam dziriwo pakati penyika dziri kugamuchira mafuta kubva kuVenezuela, mushumo unoratidza," inoshuma kudaro sangano renhau.
"Asi kunyange United States - pasinei nezvirango zvayo kuVenezuela - inotenga mafuta kubva kunyika iyoyo. Muna Ndira, United States yakatenga madhiramu emafuta anosvika mamiriyoni 8.6 kubva kuVenezuela, sekureva kweCensus Bureau, kubva pamadhiramu anosvika mamiriyoni 202 akaunzwa mumwedzi iwoyo," EuroNews yakadaro.
Munyika, hupfumi huchiri kutarisana nekuvandudza dzimba, izvo zvinofanira kuwedzera kudiwa kwependi yezvivakwa uye machira ekuputira. Muna Chivabvu 2024, hurumende yeVenezuela yakapemberera makore gumi nematatu echirongwa chayo cheGreat Housing Mission (GMVV), ichipemberera dzimba dzemamiriyoni mana nehafu dzakapihwa kumhuri dzevashandi, inodaro Venezuelanalysis. Chirongwa ichi chine chinangwa chekuvaka dzimba mamiriyoni manomwe panosvika gore ra2030.
Kunyange hazvo vanoisa mari vekuMadokero vangatya kuwedzera kutengeswa kwemari muVenezuela, mabhanga epasi rose ari kutsigira mapurojekiti ezvivakwa, kusanganisira bhangi reDevelopment Bank of Latin America and the Caribbean (CAF).
Nguva yekutumira: Chivabvu-08-2025
